24-25

For years, the avalanche community has worked to understand and address the human factors that influence decision-making in the backcountry. With decades of research as their foundation, Sara Boilen and Ian McCammon are developing an open-source tool to help individuals mitigate risk in avalanche terrain. The project's first stage involves interviewing backcountry recreationalists who have been traveling in avalanche terrain for at least one season. All participants will be entered to win amazing raffle prizes (from Jones Snowboards, BCA, and more!).

No Region, 2025-04-07

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Apr 7, 2025

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>This morning, avalanche conditions are generally safe, and slides are unlikely. Warming during the day will unlock snow surfaces and make <strong>wet loose </strong>and <strong>wind slab avalanches</strong> possible. Thankfully, both of these problems will result in relatively small avalanches and are avoidable by timing your day thoughtfully and identifying key terrain features.</p>

<p>Increasing cloud cover and winds may keep snow surfaces cooler than yesterday and multiple days of subsequent freezing and thawing temperatures took the edge off the wet snow danger. However, as the sun and above-freezing temperatures melt snow surfaces, <strong>wet loose avalanches</strong> may occur naturally or with human triggers. Last week’s snow sits above firm crusts, a bed surface that can result in long-running slides. Move to lower-angle terrain or colder, drier slopes on northern aspects when the top few inches of snow become wet or roller balls signal deteriorating stability. Stability will be best first thing in the morning and progressively worsen on slopes in direct sun.</p>

<p>Snow surfaces are hardening, and <strong>wind slab avalanches</strong> are becoming less likely as time separates us from the most recent snowfall and wind loading events. Slabs of drifted snow often present as textured, stiff or rounded snow surfaces. The most likely location for this problem is immediately below corniced ridgelines and in upper elevation gullies holding dry snow. Either avoid these isolated locations or evaluate drifted slopes for instability. While these wind slabs are relatively small, they can push skiers and riders into rocks and off cliffs in steep terrain.</p>

<p>A related concern is <strong>cornice fall</strong>. These overhanging masses of snow near ridgelines are enormous and can break unpredictably far from the edge, especially during spring warm-ups. Minimize your time on slopes below cornices and stay far from the edge while travelling above them.</p>

<p><strong>Recent Avalanche Activity: </strong>Yesterday, skiers south of Cooke City noted a pair of relatively small wet loose avalanches (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34867"><strong><span>details</span></s…;). On Saturday in the Bridger Range, skiers triggered wind slab avalanches on Saddle Peak and The Great One; some loose snow avalanches occurred naturally (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34844"><strong><span>Saddle Peak</span></strong></a>, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34845"><strong><span>The Great One</span></strong></a>, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/25/natural-loose-slides-bridge-ridge…;), and in Cooke City, wind drifts breaking up to 8 inches deep were more reactive than anticipated (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34848"><strong><span>observation and video</span></strong></a>).</p>

<p><span>The avalanche danger is LOW this morning and will rise to MODERATE as surface crusts break down. </span></p>

Hyalite Road Closure

The Hyalite Canyon Road is closed to ALL MOTORIZED VEHICLES until May 16. This is a regular annual road closure to reduce road damage during the spring thaw. Bicycle and foot traffic are allowed. Contact the Bozeman FS Ranger District for more info.

Wet Loose Avalanches Cooke City

Hayden Creek
Cooke City
Code
WL-NC-R1-D1-S
Elevation
10000
Aspect
E
Latitude
44.99520
Longitude
-109.90800
Notes

While touring south of town today, we observed two D1 wet loose avalanches on an east aspect at 10000’. Both occurred at 11am and were triggered by a small cornice fall due to rapid warming.

Number of slides
2
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Wet loose-snow avalanche
Trigger
Cornice fall
R size
1
D size
1
Bed Surface
S - Avalanche released within new snow
Problem Type
Loose Wet
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year

Wet Loose Avalanches Cooke City

Date
Activity
Skiing

While touring south of town today, we observed two D1 wet loose avalanches on an east aspect at 10000’. Both occurred at 11am and were triggered by a small cornice fall due to rapid warming.

Region
Cooke City
Location (from list)
Hayden Creek
Observer Name
Nina Hance

Skier caught and carried on Cowen

Date
Activity
Skiing

Party of 3 skiers triggered a wind slab about 500 feet below the entrance to Moe's Gullies, just south of Mount Cowen. Skier 1 ski cut the entrance to the couloir, with no visible effect. Skiers 1, 2, and 3 then one by one skied down about 200 feet before cutting into the skiers right gully. This was also skied one at a time, after which they regrouped about 500 feet below the entrance/ridge. Skier 1 then traversed out so ski the apron, and triggered a D1 avalanche on a wind slab which broke about 100 feet above. Crown is estimated to be about 20" at the deepest, and was at the transition point between the choke of the parallel gully and the apron below. Skier 1 was carried about 200 feet before being able to self arrest. Skiers 2 and 3 were in a safe spot and not caught. Avalanche ran the full length of the path, and triggered sympathetic avalanches on the way down. This created a relatively large debris pile compared to the size of the initial release. Avalanche seemed comprised mostly of the last storm snow running on a hard crust below. 

 

No injuries were sustained.

Region
Out of Advisory Area
Observer Name
Jonas David

test scores

Date
Activity
Skiing
Region
Cooke City
Observer Name
Test observation

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sun Apr 6, 2025

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Today the two main avalanche problems you might encounter are </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>wind slab avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> and </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>wet loose avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>. Yesterday in the Bridger Range, wind slab avalanches were triggered by skiers (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34844"><span><span><span><strong><span… Peak</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>, </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34845"><span><span><span><strong><span… Great One</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>), and some loose snow avalanches ran naturally (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/25/natural-loose-slides-bridge-ridge…;). I had similar </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34848"><span><span><span><strong><span…; near Cooke City where wind slabs were notably more reactive than expected, despite having had some time to stabilize since snowfall tapered off a couple days ago.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Don’t trust old drifts today, and expect any fresh drifts to be easy to trigger. These wind slabs are relatively small, but can easily knock you over and be harmful if they carry you into rocks, over a cliff, or down a long steep slope. A textured or rounded snow surface is a sign the snow has been drifted into a stiffer slab. Be cautious of wind-loaded slopes, especially in terrain where being carried in even a small slide would have high consequences.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>As sunshine and above freezing temperatures melt the snow surface, wet loose avalanches will become possible to trigger and some may run naturally. Soft snow from last week is sitting on firm crusts which could cause wet loose slides to be pretty big and run far. Temperatures are starting warmer and will be higher than yesterday which will probably cause the snowpack to lose strength earlier in the day, and get wet deeper into the snowpack and on slopes that remained dry yesterday.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Expect the snow surface to get weaker through the day, especially on slopes that receive direct sunshine. Sunny slopes will have a crust this morning. Plan to be off steep slopes before the crust melts or the surface gets wet. Moist sticky snow or roller-balls on the surface mean it is time to find lower angle terrain or slopes with colder, dry snow on the surface.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>The sunshine and heat will also make </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>cornice falls</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> possible. Along ridgelines, overhanging drifts of snow have become large. As these cornices melt and lose strength they could break naturally or under the weight of a person. Minimize your time on slopes below cornices and stay far back from the edge while travelling on ridgelines above them.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>The avalanche danger is MODERATE across the forecast area.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

natural loose snow slides in Bridgers

Bridger Peak
Bridger Range
Code
L-N-R1-D1.5
Elevation
8500
Aspect
E
Latitude
45.77010
Longitude
-110.94000
Notes

Observed multiple D1-1.5 natural dry loose avalanches (and some tiny wind slab pockets under the ridge cornice) that likely occurred during peak warming around 2-3 PM. North/sheltered aspects from ~9- 8.5k held an average of 8+ inches of dry, drifted snow. Early AM to mid-afternoon, very active wind transport followed by tapered winds and a rapid increase in temp.

Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Loose-snow avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
1
D size
1.5
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year