24-25

Snow Stability Isn't Everything

Date
Activity
Skiing

Skies were still blue with increasing clouds when we rode up into Fairy Lake zone this morning. We popped up onto the Frazier Basin ridgeline and could see many tracks from skiers over the weekend. As we descended back to Fairy Lake and transitioned to skis, the cloud deck increased and the ceiling lowered. We ascended up Nayu Nuki's east shoulder and at times visibility was limited to 25' in front of our ski tips. Temps were still quite warm and winds were minimal. 

Snow surfaces were variable with a mix of sun crusts, wind board, and in shallower tree-sheltered zones, sugary faceted snow. It will be interesting to see how well a few inches of new snow this week bonds with these different snow surfaces. 

While our original trip plan involved stepping out into steeper avalanche terrain, we decided to pull the plug due to extremely limited visibility. This was an example of how even though avalanche conditions may be generally stable, there are other factors to consider when choosing to ski steeper lines (visibility of your partners, visibility of surrounding avalanche terrain, etc.) 

Region
Bridger Range
Location (from list)
Fairy Lake
Observer Name
H. Darby

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Mar 3, 2025

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Today’s primary avalanche problem is human-triggered </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>persistent slab avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> breaking on weak layers that formed in late January. Over the previous 12 days we received reports of multiple persistent slab avalanches, breaking 2-3 feet deep and 50-200 feet wide. The most recent, that we know of, were triggered by snowmobilers on Friday at Lionhead (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34421"><span><span><span><span><span><… and observation</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). One slide broke 5 feet deep on a heavily wind-loaded slope (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TWCNOrvNvLk&amp;embeds_referring_euri=h…;). Many recent avalanches were close calls with riders narrowly avoiding being caught and some partially buried and dug out by partners (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34413"><span><span><span><span><span><… in Cabin Creek</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>, </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34368"><span><span><span><span><span><… Monday in Cooke</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>, last weekend in </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34341"><span><span><span><span><span><… Basin 1</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>, </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34301"><span><span><span><span><span><… Basin 2</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>, </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34367"><span><span><span><span><span><… City</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>, </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34327"><span><span><span><span><span><… Fork</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>, and </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tAiSHSEDJhY"><span><span><span><span><s… two Wednesdays ago</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>).&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>During our visits to Lionhead on Friday and the southern Madison Range on Saturday (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34438"><span><span><span><span><span><…;) we dug down and found the weak layers creating a poor structure in our snowpits. Although the weak layers were stubborn and did not produce many unstable test results, the recent avalanche activity is evidence to be cautious of steep slopes.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>The problem is tricky because unstable slopes are not widespread, and many (not all) recent slides have been on mid-elevation slopes, surrounded by trees and sheltered from the wind. These may be less typical places you would consider avalanches. Your best options are either avoid slopes steeper than 30 degrees, or before committing to steep slopes dig down 3-4 feet to check for buried weak layers, and choose slopes with minimal consequences such as gullies, trees or cliffs (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://youtu.be/W_BeKTJQbUc?feature=shared"><span><span><span><span><s… from Saturday</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>).&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>The avalanche danger is MODERATE near West Yellowstone and Cooke City.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Near Bozeman, Big Sky and Island Park avalanches are unlikely. Cooler temperatures and cloudy skies will end the threat of wet snow avalanches that were the main concern over the weekend. Additionally, we have not seen deeper persistent slab avalanches like we have in other areas, and drifts that formed last week should be glued on.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>A couple things to keep in mind are large cornices along ridgelines and small drifts that might form with new snow and light to moderate wind later today.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>On Saturday skiers in Hyalite noted cornices peeling off the ridgeline and a cornice fall that triggered a wind slab avalanche (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34440"><span><span><span><span><span><…;). Cooler temperatures should prevent cornices from breaking naturally today, but some may be teetering on edge after the recent above freezing temperatures. Stay far back from the edge of cornices if you travel along ridgelines.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>If snow starts early or piles up quickly some small fresh drifts might form late this afternoon. These should be generally harmless, but a small wind slab avalanche could knock you over. Be careful of fresh drifts on steep slopes where a small slide could carry you a long distance or push you over cliffs or into trees.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>The avalanche danger is LOW near Bozeman, Big Sky and Island Park.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out: Events and Education Calendar

Faceted Snow Near Surface In Hyalite

Date
Activity
Snowboarding

Toured up Flanders Creek to the main cirque. I was wondering what the snow surface was doing with the high pressure. I dug a pit on a NNW aspect at 8900'. HS 205cm, light SW wind, clear skies and air temp was 2.1 C at 4pm. Dust layer was down 60cm from the surface.

I didn't get any propagating results in my pit and the snowpack was right side up. I did notice a strong temperature gradient in the top few centimeters of snow. I only found this on sheltered, shaded slopes with dry powdery snow. I did not find a strong temp gradient or facets in dense wind affected snow. Something to keep in mind if we get a big dump of snow in the near future.

Region
Northern Gallatin
Location (from list)
Flanders Creek
Observer Name
Braeden Oackes

Wet Loose Avalanches, W Miller Ridge

Miller Ridge
Cooke City
Code
WL-N
Elevation
9500
Aspect
SW
Latitude
45.04230
Longitude
-109.96500
Notes

Today we observed wet loose avalanches in steep, rocky terrain on the west side of Miller ridge. SW facing, 9500 ft

 

Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Wet loose-snow avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
Problem Type
Loose Wet
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year

Wet loose activity, W Miller Ridge

Date
Activity
Skiing

Today we observed wet loose avalanches in steep, rocky terrain on the west side of Miller ridge. SW facing, 9500 ft

 

Region
Cooke City
Location (from list)
Miller Ridge
Observer Name
J Mundt

Cornice Fall Wind Slab Avalanche in Storm Castle Creek

Storm Castle
Northern Gallatin
Code
SS-NC-R2-D2-I
Aspect
E
Latitude
45.45040
Longitude
-111.22400
Notes

Toured much of the Hyalite zone yesterday.  Winds calmed, sun came out mid day.  1” of new snow and 3” the day before.  Skiing was great.  Saw a couple huge cornices that had broken off.  From the top of Devide peak we observed what looked like a cornice release above the headwaters of storm castle creek which triggered a slab, east facing aspect.  Looked to be several feet deep and ran a long way. No other signs of instability observed.  Great skiing. Solar aspects were saturated by the afternoon.

 

 

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Cornice fall
R size
2
D size
2
Bed Surface
I - Interface between new and old snow
Problem Type
Wind-Drifted Snow
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year